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. 2013 Feb 28;8(2):e52669. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0052669

Figure 1. An illustration of the growth of errors with time using the Wright model.

Figure 1

The mean value of the logarithmic hindcasting error for each dataset is plotted against the hindcasting horizon Inline graphic, in years. An error of Inline graphic, for example, indicates that the predicted value is three times as big as the actual value. The longest data-sets are: PrimaryAluminum (green), PrimaryMagnesium (dark blue), DRAM (grey), and Transistor (red).