Fig. 1.

Conceptual model of our methods. (A) Models of a single species’ current bioclimate, based on Worldclim. (B) Projected future suitable bioclimate based on 20 downscaled GCMs, where presence was defined as suitable by at least 50% of the GCMs. (C) Expansion/contraction maps based on the subtraction of the present from the future multi-GCM predictions. (D) All 13 species expansion/contraction maps were combined into three composite maps that show habitat expansion, contraction, and stability. (E) Synthetic map across GCMs and species that shows habitat expansion, contraction, and stability.