Table 2.
Estimated Proportions of Mortality, Location Parameters, Scale Parameters, and Median Ages at Death From Weibull Mixture Models Comparing the Pre- and Post-Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy Erasa Among Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study Participantsb, 1984–2008
Mortality Category | Proportion of Mortality, % | 95% CI | Location Parameter | 95% CI | Scale Parameter | 95% CI | Median Age, yearsb |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HIV-negative, 1984–2008 | N/A | N/A | 3.73 | 3.71, 3.75 | 0.25 | 0.24, 0.26 | 73.1 |
Pre-HAART era (reference) | |||||||
Non-AIDS mortality | 6 | 5, 8 | 2.84 | 2.63, 3.04 | 0.53 | 0.41, 0.66 | 49.0 |
AIDS mortality | 94 | 92, 95 | 2.34 | 2.29, 2.40 | 0.83 | 0.79, 0.87 | 42.7 |
HAART era | |||||||
Non-AIDS mortality | 53* | 48, 59 | 3.57* | 3.52, 3.62 | 0.37* | 0.34, 0.40 | 66.0* |
AIDS mortality | 47* | 41, 52 | 2.86* | 2.70, 3.01 | 0.75 | 0.68, 0.83 | 48.2* |
Abbreviations: AIDS, acquired immune deficiency syndrome; CI, confidence interval; HAART, highly active antiretroviral therapy; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; MACS, Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study; N/A, not applicable.
* P < 0.05 for difference relative to pre-HAART era.
a Pre-HAART era: 1984–1995; HAART era: 1996–2008.
b Time origin is age 35 years. For HIV-negative individuals, survival times were modeled as Weibull (β, σ). For HIV-positive individuals, survival times were modeled as a mixture with the proportion who died of non-AIDS causes (π) as Weibull (location (β)1, scale (σ)1) and the complement (1 − π) who died of AIDS as Weibull (β2, σ2).