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. 2013 Jan 3;177(2):116–125. doi: 10.1093/aje/kws321

Table 2.

Estimated Proportions of Mortality, Location Parameters, Scale Parameters, and Median Ages at Death From Weibull Mixture Models Comparing the Pre- and Post-Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy Erasa Among Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study Participantsb, 1984–2008

Mortality Category Proportion of Mortality, % 95% CI Location Parameter 95% CI Scale Parameter 95% CI Median Age, yearsb
HIV-negative, 1984–2008 N/A N/A 3.73 3.71, 3.75 0.25 0.24, 0.26 73.1
Pre-HAART era (reference)
 Non-AIDS mortality 6 5, 8 2.84 2.63, 3.04 0.53 0.41, 0.66 49.0
 AIDS mortality 94 92, 95 2.34 2.29, 2.40 0.83 0.79, 0.87 42.7
HAART era
 Non-AIDS mortality 53* 48, 59 3.57* 3.52, 3.62 0.37* 0.34, 0.40 66.0*
 AIDS mortality 47* 41, 52 2.86* 2.70, 3.01 0.75 0.68, 0.83 48.2*

Abbreviations: AIDS, acquired immune deficiency syndrome; CI, confidence interval; HAART, highly active antiretroviral therapy; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; MACS, Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study; N/A, not applicable.

* P < 0.05 for difference relative to pre-HAART era.

a Pre-HAART era: 1984–1995; HAART era: 1996–2008.

b Time origin is age 35 years. For HIV-negative individuals, survival times were modeled as Weibull (β, σ). For HIV-positive individuals, survival times were modeled as a mixture with the proportion who died of non-AIDS causes (π) as Weibull (location (β)1, scale (σ)1) and the complement (1 π) who died of AIDS as Weibull (β2, σ2).