Table 1. The candidate models from the POPAN analysis for estimation of apparent survival (Phi (φ)), recapture (p) rates and the probability of entrance (pent) for the two locations.
| Modela | AICcb | Delta AICc | AICc Weights | Model Likelihood | Number of Parameters |
| Tuntable Falls | |||||
| phi(.)p(t)pent(t) | 396.148 | 0.000 | 0.478 | 1.000 | 22 |
| phi(.)p(expeffort)pent(t) | 398.384 | 2.236 | 0.156 | 0.327 | 15 |
| phi(.)p(expeffort+sr7)pent(t) | 398.538 | 2.390 | 0.145 | 0.303 | 16 |
| phi(.)p(t)pent(.) | 398.741 | 2.593 | 0.131 | 0.273 | 14 |
| phi(.)p(expeffort+r7)pent(t) | 400.493 | 4.345 | 0.054 | 0.114 | 16 |
| phi(.)p(effort)pent(t) | 401.723 | 5.575 | 0.029 | 0.062 | 15 |
| phi(t)p(t)pent(.) | 406.117 | 9.969 | 0.003 | 0.007 | 22 |
| phi(t)p(expeffort)pent(.) | 406.740 | 10.592 | 0.002 | 0.005 | 14 |
| phi(t)p(effort)pent(t) | 408.725 | 12.577 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 24 |
| phi(t)p(expeffort+sr7)pent(.) | 409.042 | 12.894 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 15 |
| Brindle Creek | |||||
| phi(.)p(t)pent(t) | 623.761 | 0.000 | 0.692 | 1.000 | 26 |
| phi(.)p(t)pent(.) | 625.884 | 2.123 | 0.239 | 0.346 | 14 |
| phi(.)p(expeffort+sr7)pent(t) | 629.896 | 6.135 | 0.032 | 0.047 | 17 |
| phi(t)p(t)pent(t) | 631.906 | 8.145 | 0.012 | 0.017 | 34 |
| phi(.)p(effort+sr7)pent(t) | 632.164 | 8.403 | 0.010 | 0.015 | 17 |
| phi(t)p(expeffort+sr7)pent(t) | 632.757 | 8.996 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 26 |
| phi(t)p(t)pent(.) | 634.856 | 11.095 | 0.003 | 0.004 | 23 |
| phi(t)p(effort+sr7)pent(t) | 635.181 | 11.420 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 27 |
| phi(t)p(effort)pent(t) | 636.637 | 12.876 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 26 |
| phi(.)p(effort)pent(t) | 638.604 | 14.843 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 16 |
a
(t) = fully time-specific variation, (.) = variation is constant, (expeffort) = 1–(1–p*)t, (effort) = the number of surveys pooled in an occasion, (sr7) = substantial rainfall (>40 mm) in the previous 7 days.
b
AICc is the estimated Akaike’s Information Criterion, the lower AICc values indicate better fitting models.