Table 2. Bayes factors for state transitions, comparing significance output for uncorrected vs. distance-penalized connections.

	Bayes Factors
Transition Pair	Uncorrected	Indicator	Distance Penalized	Indicator
Central African Republic – Nigeria	22.79	0.80	17.91	0.76
Senegal – Ivory Coast	9.05	0.62	10.17	0.64
Gambia – Burkina Faso	8.84	0.61	10.38	0.64
Ethiopia – Senegal	7.17	0.56	7.15	0.56
Kenya – Gambia	6.85	0.55	5.42	0.49

^* Transition pair significance for indicator value criteria was not maintained between the uncorrected and distance-penalized model.

Significant reversible state transitions for BSSVS test for Bayes factors greater than 3 and indicator value greater than .50. Table shows a comparison between factor values obtained with an uncorrected model, and a set obtained by imposing an increasing linear distance penalty on computed distance between states. Under distance penalty, significance was reduced below indicator value criterion for indicated transition pairs.