Table G.1.

Pharmacotherapy Cohort Simulation Results

	Current Eligibility			Expanded Eligibility
	Baseline	Intervention	Effect	Baseline	Intervention	Effect
Disability free life expectancy	21.94	22.09	0.16	22.78	22.82	0.04
Life expectancy	29.68	29.76	0.09	29.64	29.67	0.04
Medical costs ($2010)
Medicare	133 845	133 684	−161	123 610	123 400	−210
Medicaid	50 117	50 095	−22	45 877	45 825	−52
Private Medical Cost	162 745	162 585	−160	151 983	151 783	−200
Total	346 707	346 364	−343	321 470	321 007	−462
Other fiscal outcomes ($2010)
Tax Revenue	79 426	79 534	107	84 092	84 134	41
SSI, DI, OASI	125 162	125 517	355	134 154	134 320	166
Earnings	231 060	231 360	300	238 000	238 091	91

Notes: averages from 1000 simulations of the projection for a cohort entering at age 50 in 2010. Real discount rate is 3%. All amounts in $2010 dollars. SSI = Supplemental Security Income, DI = Disability insurance, OASI = old-age social insurance. Private medical costs cover other costs not covered by Medicare and Medicaid (e.g. costs covered by employer). Please refer to text for definition of current and expanded eligibility.