Table 3.
Posterior mean and variance, and Bayes factors of pollen idices under Zellner’s informative G-prior
Annual Production |
Peak Value |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E(βi|Y,X) | V(βi|Y,X) | E(βi|Y,X) | V (βi|Y,X) | ||||
β ap0 | −24,665 | 3.22×108 | −0.63 | β pv0 | −3,395 | 5.40×106 | −0.56 |
β ap1 | 77 | 2,940 | −0.60 | β pv1 | 10 | 47 | −0.54 |
β ap2 | 0.39 | 0.09 | −0.67 | β pv2 | 0.57 | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| |||||||
0.72 | 0.81 | ||||||
P value | 1.40×10−5 | P value | 7.58×10−7 | ||||
| |||||||
Start Date |
Peak Date |
||||||
E(βi|Y,X) | V (βi|Y,X) | E(βi|Y,X) | V (βi|Y,X) | ||||
| |||||||
β sd0 | 32 | 5,163 | −0.96 | β pd0 | 25 | 8,506 | −0.99 |
β sd1 | −0.50 | 2.51 | −0.98 | β pd1 | −0.26 | 1.94 | −0.99 |
β sd2 | 0.71 | 0.38 | −0.71 | β pd2 | 0.79 | 0.54 | −0.75 |
| |||||||
0.82 | 0.86 | ||||||
P value | 4.99×10−7 | P value | 5.70×10−8 |