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. 2013 Mar 3;2013:708251. doi: 10.1155/2013/708251

Table 1.

Blinding scenarios [13].

Experimental arm (verum) Control arm (sham) Possible blinding and clinical effectiveness interpretations Trials number (%)
Random guess Random guess Ideal, possibly most ideal from the scientific or statistical perspective 8 (15)
Random guess Opposite guess Rare 2 (4)
Random guess Unblinded Possibly little treatment effect and completely no effect in control arm 3 (6)
Unblinded Unblinded Possibly problematic. Treatment effect in experimental arm and no treatment effect in control arm (e.g., patients tend to know what to expect) 4 (7)
Unblinded Opposite guess Ideal (e.g., patients tend to have wishful thinking, strong placebo effect, and any treatment administered is perceived as real treatment) 25 (46)
Unblinded Random guess Possibly problematic. Treatment effect in experimental arm and no treatment effect in control arm (e.g., patients do not know what to expect in the absence of treatment) 12 (22)
Opposite guess Opposite guess Rare 0 (0)
Opposite guess Random guess Rare 0 (0)
Opposite guess Unblinded No treatment effect at all; patients may have low expectations 0 (0)