. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Feb 1.

Published in final edited form as: Med Decis Making. 2012 Oct 5;33(2):154–162. doi: 10.1177/0272989X12461856

Table 4.

Reclassification of 8-year Predicted Risk of CVD Event Using Models With and Without HDL Cholesterol in the Women’s Health Study

a. Observed (cases / non-cases)
Model without HDL	Predicted 8-year Risk of CVD from Model with HDL				Total
Model without HDL	<4%	4 to <8%	8 to <16%	16+%	Total
<4%	228 / 20093	23 / 493	0 / 0	0 / 0	251 / 20586

4 to <8%	12 / 431	105 / 1477	20 / 203	0 / 0	137 / 2111
8 to <16%	0 / 2	13 / 152	76 / 507	17 / 42	106 / 703

16+ %	0 / 0	0 / 1	10 / 48	56 / 162	66 / 211
Total	240 / 20526	141 / 2123	106 / 758	73 / 204	560 / 23611

b. Expected (cases / non-cases)
Model without HDL	Predicted 8-year Risk of CVD from Model with HDL				Total
Model without HDL	<4%	4 to <8%	8 to <16%	16+%	Total
<4%	228 / 20093	17.5 / 462	0 / 1	0 / 0	245.5 / 20556

4 to <8%	17.5 / 462	105 / 1477	16.5 / 177.5	0 / 0.5	139 / 2117
8 to <16%	0 / 1	16.5 / 177.5	76 / 507	13.5 / 45	106 / 730.5

16+ %	0 / 0	0 / 0.5	13.5 / 45	56 / 162	69.5 / 207.5
Total	245.5 / 20556	139 / 2117	106 / 730.5	69.5 / 207.5	560 / 23611