Table 3.
Posterior mean estimates and 95% posterior intervals (PIs) from the bivariate CAR Poisson hurdle model (excluding age parameters). Estimates for percent occupied housing and percent below poverty are given for a 10-unit change.
Model Component |
Variable | Parameter | Posterior Mean |
95% PI |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bernoulli | Intercept | β11 | −0.65 | (−0.73, −0.58) |
Male | β12 | 0.20 | (0.17, 0.22) | |
Non-Hispanic black | β13 | 0.68 | (0.65, 0.71) | |
Hispanic | β14 | 0.56 | (0.50, 0.61) | |
Private Insurance | β15 | −1.32 | (−1.35, −1.30) | |
% Occupied Housing | α11 | 0.02 | (−0.02, 0.06) | |
% Below Poverty | α12 | 0.10 | (0.07, 0.12) | |
Poisson | Intercept | β21 | 0.70 | (0.64, 0.77) |
Male | β22 | −0.13 | (−0.15, −0.11) | |
Non-Hispanic black | β23 | 0.05 | (0.03, 0.08) | |
Hispanic | β24 | −0.57 | (−0.62, −0.54) | |
Private Insurance | β25 | −0.60 | (−0.62, −0.58) | |
% Occupied Housing | α21 | 0.01 | (−0.03, 0.05) | |
% Below Poverty | α22 | 0.04 | (0.02, 0.07) | |
Variance Components | Var(ϕ1i) | Σ11 | 0.22 | (0.16, 0.31) |
Cov(ϕ1i, ϕ2i) | Σ12 | 0.10 | (0.06, 0.15) | |
Var(ϕ2i) | Σ22 | 0.14 | (0.10, 0.19) | |
Corr(ϕ1i, ϕ2i) | ρ | 0.57 | (0.42, 0.70) |