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. 2013 Feb 25;110(13):5253–5257. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1216076110

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1.

Forecast error for each forecasting method for the logistic (A) and two-species (B and C) models. Forecast interval is the number of steps ahead for which the prediction is being made. Forecast error (SRMSE) is the rms error of the predictions divided by the SD of the test set. Points represent the mean SRMSE over the 100 simulations for each model; bars are the SE. The red, blue, green, and black lines show the forecast error for the fitted control model, SSR model, AR model, and ARMA model, respectively.