Official websites use .gov
A
.gov website belongs to an official
government organization in the United States.
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock (
) or https:// means you've safely
connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive
information only on official, secure websites.
Error of each forecasting method for the age-structured model (A–C) and patch 1 of the spatial model (D); similar results were obtained for patches 2–4 of the spatial model. For the age-structured model, ages 0, 1, and 2 are represented by A, B, and C, respectively. The red, blue, green, and black lines show the forecast error for the fitted control model, SSR model, AR model, and ARMA model, respectively.
