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. 2013 May 7;280(1758):20122019. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2012.2019

Table 2.

Summary of the effects of the treatments on the number and area of three classes of colour elements (black, orange, and yellow/cream) and on mean observer rank when males were adults at age 78 days, estimated from the posterior distributions of a Bayesian multivariate GLMM. (Family ID and body area (mm2) were included as random effects (see the electronic supplementary material, table S2 for the variance attributed to the random effects). 95% credible intervals (CIs) are included in parentheses. Mean observer rank ranged from 1 (most colourful) to 4 (least colourful). Estimated posterior means are shown for males reared without predator cues and on high-food levels as well as the estimated effects of being reared with predator cues and on low-food levels. (The estimated level of significance (pMCMC) of each effect is indicated by asterisks: *p ≤ 0.05, **p ≤ 0.01 and ***p ≤ 0.001.)

trait later in adulthood (78 days) mean without predator cues with high food (95% CI) effect of predator cues (95% CI) effect of low food (95% CI) effect of predator cues × low food (95% CI)
total number black elements 1.89 (1.71, 2.07) −0.06 (−0.31, 0.21) −0.02 (−0.28, 0.25) 0.04 (−0.30, 0.41)
total area black elements (mm2) 11.43 (10.08, 12.87) −2.39 (−3.66, −1.09)*** −0.55 (−1.88, 0.67) 0.71 (−0.98, 2.55)
total number orange elements 1.02 (0.74, 1.29) −0.10 (−0.48, 0.29) −0.12 (−0.52, 0.25) 0.05 (−0.45, 0.56)
total area orange elements (mm2) 5.02 (4.42, 5.54) −1.55 (−2.05, −1.01)*** −0.64 (−1.15, 0.05)* 0.55 (−0.21, 1.28)
total number yellow/cream elements 0.40 (0.04, 0.77) −0.19 (−0.74, 0.30) 0.09 (−0.36, 0.58) −0.16 (−0.91, 0.55)
total area yellow/cream elements (mm2) 1.67 (1.24, 2.14) −0.35 (−0.86, −0.08) −0.02 (−0.43, 0.48) 0.27 (−0.95, 0.38)
mean observer rank within family 0.30 (−0.19, 0.84) 1.50 (0.83, 2.15)*** 0.27 (−0.37, 0.94) −0.04 (−0.92, 0.98)