Figure 5. Model predictions for cumulative incidence and seroprevalence as a function of transmission intensity.

A: cumulative incidence (total number of symptomatic cases) over a 28-year simulation as a function of various transmission rates. B: Seroprevalence as a function of transmission rate and stratified by infected subpopulation: black bars  =  asymptomatically infected fawns, gray bars  =  all other seropositive fawns, white bars  =  asymptomatically infected does and striped bars  =  all other seropositive does. The dashed black line corresponds to the second y-axis and indicates the probability of currently being asymptomatically infected given a seropositive status. Default parameters as in Table 2.