Table 5.

Discriminatory Power of Models for Predicting Any Obstructive Sleep Apnea Syndrome^a

Single‐Stage Model	AUC	Cutpoint	SENS	SPEC	Neg LR	NPTP
NC, cm	0.612	42.650	0.849	0.520	0.254	0.078
Morphometrics	0.579	50.976	0.872	0.299	0.428	0.124
MVAP	0.614	0.559	0.694	0.565	0.524	0.148
BMI, kg/m2	0.609	29.168	0.794	0.444	0.460	0.132
Symptoms	0.630	0.916	0.790	0.537	0.380	0.112
Age, y	0.507	45.825	0.780	0.236	1.013	0.251

Two‐Stage Model	AUC	LB	UB	HST Cutpoint	SENS	SPEC	Neg LR	NPTP
NC, cm	0.658	39.1	43.4	21	0.733	0.584	0.436	0.126
Morphometrics	0.658	31	96	11.25	0.867	0.449	0.279	0.085
MVAP	0.672	0.255	0.69	13.5	0.805	0.540	0.349	0.104
BMI, kg/m2	0.649	24	36.25	13.5	0.789	0.509	0.394	0.115
Symptoms	0.652	1.175	3.175	20	0.580	0.723	0.578	0.161
Age, y	0.606	30.75	59.25	11	0.772	0.441	0.436	0.126

Abbreviations: AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; BMI, body mass index; HST, home sleep testing; LB, lower bound; MVAP, multivariable apnea prediction score; NC, neck circumference; NegLR, negative likelihood ratio; NPTP, Negative post‐test probability; SENS, sensitivity; SPEC, specificity; uAHI, Apnea‐Hypopnea Index (AHI) from unattended HST; UB, upper bound.

^aAny obstructive sleep apnea syndrome = AHI ≥5 events/h + Epworth Sleepiness Scale >10.