Table 4.

Policy Simulations of the Effect of Revenue-Neutral Changes in Markups on 30-day Mortality Rates and Deaths

	All Service Lines	Profitable Service Lines	Unprofitable Service Lines
Actual 1997–2005 change −0.149 ≥markup ≤0.139	0.0194* (101,094)	0.0179*	0.0204*
Policy simulations
Redistribution of payment from service lines with markups >0.10 to unprofitable service lines†	0.0193* (100,387)	0.0188*	0.0196*
Redistribution of payment from service lines with markups >0.05 to unprofitable service lines‡	0.0170* (88,462)	0.0208*	0.0144*
Markup = 0.010 at all service lines	0.0169* (88,192)	N/A	N/A

Note. Simulations using parameter estimates of all urban hospital sample in Table 4.

Implied number of deaths in parentheses.

^*p ≤ .001 based on bootstrapped standard errors with hospital service line clustering.

^†Results in: −0.037 ≥markup ≤0.100.

^‡Results in: −0.0042 ≥markup ≤0.05.