Table 2. Comparison of models where protection from infection and time to onset of parasitemia depend on (i) anti-CSP antibodies and CSP-specific CD4+ T cells; (ii) anti-CSP antibodies only; (iii) CSP-specific CD4+ T cells only; and (iv) vaccination status only.
Parameter estimates | |||||||||
Model | n | σn | µ | σµ | VE s | βab | αab | βCMI | ΔAIC |
antibodies & CD4+ T cells | 150 | 194 | 2136 | 4460 | – | 6.62 | 1.32 | 1367 | 0 |
antibodies only | 156 | 210 | 2056 | 4205 | – | 5.83 | 1.38 | – | 4.34 |
vaccine status only | 74 | 96 | 4463 | 9340 | 0.97 | – | – | – | 29.30 |
CD4+ T cells only | 202 | 447 | 658 | 1444 | – | – | – | 489 | 76.62 |
Parameters are as defined in Table 1 and VEs is the probability that a sporozoite is killed for the vaccination status only model. The ranking of models by AIC highlights the finding that the data are best explained by a model that includes both anti-CSP antibody titres and numbers of CD4+ T cells, and that a model with anti-CSP antibody titres only fits better than one with CD4+ T cells only.