Table 4.

Logistic regression with change in BMI and WC z-score predicting IDF threshold values by gender^*

	Change of BMI Z-score				Change of WC Z-score
	OR (1 SD)	95% CI	p-value	OR (1/2 SD)	OR (1 SD)	95% CI	p-value	OR (1/2 SD)
Male (n=2175)
Triglycerides >=150 mg/dl	1.96	(0.86, 4.48)	0.11	1.40	2.42	(1.15, 5.1)	0.02	1.56
HDL-C <40 mg/dl	1.28	(0.72, 2.26)	0.40	1.13	1.72	(1.01, 2.93)	0.05	1.31
LDL-C ≥ 130 mg/dL	2.23	(0.37, 13.44)	0.38	1.49	1.46	(0.3, 7.11)	0.64	1.21
Systolic Blood Pressure >=130 mm.Hg	2.42	(1.14, 5.15)	0.02	1.56	0.72	(0.37, 1.42)	0.35	0.85
Diastolic Blood Pressure>=85 mm.Hg	2.91	(0.52, 16.35)	0.22	1.71	0.54	(0.12, 2.51)	0.44	0.74
Glucose >=100 mg/dl	1.33	(0.82, 2.16)	0.24	1.15	1.30	(0.84, 2)	0.23	1.14
Female (n=2428)
Triglycerides >=150 mg/dl	1.33	(0.51, 3.46)	0.56	1.15	2.58	(1.22, 5.46)	0.01	1.61
HDL-C <40 mg/dl	1.30	(0.67, 2.52)	0.44	1.14	1.90	(1.13, 3.18)	0.02	1.38
LDL-C ≥ 130 mg/dL	1.87	(0.51, 6.84)	0.34	1.37	0.78	(0.28, 2.19)	0.64	0.88
Systolic Blood Pressure >=130 mm.Hg	0.39	(0.11, 1.47)	0.17	0.63	1.66	(0.61, 4.49)	0.32	1.29
Diastolic Blood Pressure>=85 mm.Hg	0.59	(0.12, 2.95)	0.52	0.77	2.26	(0.69, 7.37)	0.18	1.50
Glucose >=100 mg/dl	1.28	(0.74, 2.22)	0.37	1.13	1.20	(0.78, 1.85)	0.40	1.10

^*All models are mutually adjusted for BMI and WC z-score as well as thence group, pubertal development and parental education OR=odds ratio.

The sample only included participants with values below the risk factor threshold during 6^th grade.