Table 6.
Results of the scenario analyses after 5 years
| Base case | ClosureFast+ | ClosureFast++ | ClosureFast- | ClosureFast-- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Base Case market uptake of ClosureFast (10 percent points in the year of introduction and 5 percent points in the following years) | |||||
| World without ClosureFast |
2,011,081,587 € |
2,116,615,576 € |
2,431,191,408 € |
1,938,122,196 € |
1,588,229,622 € |
| World with ClosureFast |
1,992,017,142 € |
2,039,393,961 € |
2,244,025,455 € |
1,996,246,708 € |
1,829,572,902 € |
|
Difference |
−19,064,445 € |
−77,221,615 € |
−187,165,953 € |
58,124,512 € |
241,343,280 € |
|
Fast market uptake of ClosureFast (15 percent points in the year of introduction and 7.5 percent points in the following years) | |||||
| World without ClosureFast |
2,011,081,587 € |
2,116,615,576 € |
2,431,191,408 € |
1,938,122,196 € |
1,588,229,622 € |
| World with ClosureFast |
1,982,484,920 € |
2,001,065,612 € |
2,152,055,284 € |
2,025,308,963 € |
1,913,810,466 € |
|
Difference |
−28,596,667 € |
−115,549,964 € |
−279,136,124 € |
87,186,767 € |
325,580,844 € |
|
Slow market uptake of ClosureFast (5 percent points in the year of introduction and 2.5 percent points in the following years) | |||||
| World without ClosureFast |
2,011,081,587 € |
2,116,615,576 € |
2,431,191,408 € |
1,938,122,196 € |
1,588,229,622 € |
| World with ClosureFast |
2,001,549,364 € |
2,077,910,616 € |
2,337,070,830 € |
1,967,184,452 € |
1,743,326,614 € |
| Difference | −9,532,223 € | −38,704,960 € | −94,120,578 € | 29,062,256 € | 155,096,992 € |