Table 2. Results of generalized linear regression analyses on detrended infectious disease outbreaks in relation to detrended monthly values of the NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) (from NAO1: January to NAO12: December) of each year or with one year lag. Best models were selected using a backward-stepwise procedure using AIC and Bonferroni corrections, with only significant, or close to significant (p < 0.08) explicative variables indicated.
Diseases | Location | Independent variable | Deviance | Sign (P) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Adenovirus | Northern | NAO11 | 0.76 | +0.1 (0.06) |
Measles | Northern | NAO8 | 2.13 | +0.3 (0.05) |
Southern | NAO10 | 0.98 | −0.1 (0.03) | |
Aseptic viral Meningitis | Northern | NAO10 | 3.82 | +0.3 (0.03) |
Q fever | Northern | NAO7 (year lag) | <0.01 | +0.001 (0.05) |
Southern | NAO12 (year lag) | 2.19 | −0.2 (0.02) | |
Tuberculosis | ||||
Enterovirus infection | Northern | NAO6 (year lag) | 0.61 | +0.1 (0.01) |
Gastroenteritis | Northern | NAO9 (year lag) | 1.94 | +0.02 (0.06) |
Southern | NAO12 (year lag) | 1.38 | −0. 3 (0.03) | |
Shigellosis | Northern | NAO11 (year lag) | 2.42 | +0.2 (0.009) |
Southern | NAO5 (year lag) | 1.64 | −0.2 (0.03) | |
Typhoid fever | Northern | NAO6 (year lag) | 17.15 | −0.6 (0.003) |
Southern | NAO12 (year lag) | 0.76 | +0.2 (0.01) | |
Hantavirus infection | Northern | NAO12 (year lag) | <0.01 | −0.001 (0.005) |
Southern | NAO12 (year lag) | 1.27 | +0.3 (0.08) | |
Tularaemia | Northern | NAO3 (year lag) | 1.51 | −0.2 (0.04) |
Hepatitis A | Northern | NAO7 (year lag) | 5.41 | −0.4 (0.06) |
Southern | NAO9 (year lag) | 2.56 | −0.2 (0.03) | |
Trichinosis | Northern | NAO1 | <0.01 | −0.001 (0.06) |