Table 2. Multivariate Analyses.
Characteristic | Odds Ratio | 95% Confidence Intervals | P value |
---|---|---|---|
Clinical model (AUC* = 0.71) | |||
| |||
Headache | 4.4 | 2.2 to 7.5 | <0.0001 |
Fever | 3.3 | 1.6 to 7.1 | 0.0017 |
| |||
Epidemiological model (AUC=0.84) | |||
| |||
Lyme season** | 25 | 8.6 to 107 | <0.0001 |
High-risk location*** | 20 | 7.4 to 68 | <0.0001 |
| |||
Contextualized Model (AUC=0.89) | |||
| |||
Fever | 3.9 | 1.5 to 11 | 0.0071 |
Headache | 2.7 | 1.3 to 5.8 | 0.0095 |
Lyme season** | 25 | 8.3 to 113 | <0.0001 |
High-risk location*** | 18 | 6.5 to 69 | <0.0001 |
AUC: Area under Receiver Operator Characteristic Curve
Lyme season = June to November
High risk location: 3 year average Lyme incidence > 4/100,000 in county of residence.