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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 May 6.
Published in final edited form as: Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2011 Jun;32(6):553–561. doi: 10.1086/660013
Events Transition probability Changes

Restoration colonization resistance θSΔ(t) + ot) r=1,s=−1

Antibiotic treatment αRΔ(t) + ot) r=−1,s=1

Treatment success pεΔ(t) + ot) s=1, d=−1

Colonization without immune response (1 − fSΔt + ot) s=−1, c=1

Colonization with immune response fλSΔt + ot) s=−1, c+=1

Disease φCΔ(t) + ot) c=−1, d=1

Duration

Discharge R 1/kr r=−1

Discharge S 1/k s=−1

Discharge C 1/k c=−1

Discharge C+ 1/k c+=−1

Discharge D 1/kd d=−1