Table 4.
Estimates of the model parameters
|
Portugal |
Finland |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude |
Adjusted |
Crude |
Adjusted |
|||
| Mean | (90% CI) | Mean | (90% CI) | |||
| Transmission rate (β) |
0.54 |
1.05 |
(0.82; 1.31) |
0.26 |
0.63 |
(0.47; 0.79) |
| Overall community acquisition rate (nsк) |
0.25 |
0.25 |
(0.18; 0.34) |
0.11 |
0.12 |
(0.09; 0.15) |
| Clearance rate (μ) |
0.33 |
0.57 |
(0.51; 0.65) |
0.54 |
0.73 |
(0.66; 0.81) |
| Competition (φ) | 0.80 | 0.51 | (0.30; 0.77) | 1.14 | 0.67 | (0.22; 1.26) |
Crude estimates and posterior means and 90% credible intervals (CI) for the four model parameters from the adjusted (full) model. The rate parameters are presented per month. The mean durations of carriage (time until immune clearance) corresponding to the crude exponential clearance rates are 3 months and 1.9 months for the Portuguese and Finnish datasets, respectively. Based on the adjusted analysis and the Weibull clearance rates, the mean durations are 1.6 months in Portugal (90% CI: 1.4-1.8 months) and 1.2 months in Finland (90% CI: 1.1-1.4 months).