Table 4.

Odds Ratios for Predicting Self-Reported Affective Disorder and Symptom-Based Disorder Diagnoses at Wave 2

Variable	Self-reported affective disorder			Self-reported affective diagnosis (CIDI-SF)
	Model 1	Model 2	Model 3	Model 1	Model 2	Model 3
Wave 1 self-reported affective disorder	6.58*** [4.09, 10.60]	5.83*** [3.62, 9.37]	6.21*** [3.77, 10.24]	—	—	—
Wave 1 self-reported affective diagnosis (CIDI-SF)	—	—	—	4.48*** [2.32, 8.64]	3.78*** [1.98, 7.21]	3.98*** [2.03, 7.81]
Wave 1 negative-affect level on nonstressor days	1.26* [1.04, 1.53]	—	1.06 [0.86, 1.31]	1.40*** [1.15, 1.70]	—	1.31* [1.05, 1.63]
Wave 1 affective reactivity	—	1.52*** [1.22, 1.89]	1.56*** [1.21, 2.01]	—	1.46** [1.11, 1.90]	1.25 [0.92, 1.70]
Wave 1 number of stressors	1.30* [1.02, 1.66]	1.11 [0.86, 1.43]	1.10 [0.83, 1.45]	1.06 [0.77, 1.44]	0.87 [0.64, 1.19]	0.91 [0.65, 1.28]
Wave 2 gender (reference = women)	1.54 [0.94, 2.50]	1.81* [1.11, 2.93]	1.69* [1.02, 2.81]	1.60 [0.86, 2.00]	1.97* [1.07, 3.63]	1.72 [0.91, 3.26]
Wave 2 education	0.87 [0.69, 1.10]	0.93 [.74, 1.17]	0.96 [0.75, 1.23]	0.72* [0.53, 0.98]	0.77 [0.58, 1.03]	0.76 [0.56, 1.03]
Wave 2 age	0.84 [0.67, 1.07]	0.88 [0.69, 1.11]	0.86 [0.67, 1.11]	0.64** [0.47, 0.87]	0.64** [0.47, 0.86]	0.65* [0.48, 0.89]

Note: The numbers in brackets represent 95% Wald confidence intervals. Self-reported affective diagnosis was obtained using the Composite International Diagnostic Interview Short Form (CIDI-SF; Kessler, Andrews, Mroczek, Ustun, & Wittchen, 1998).

^*p < .05.

^**p < .01.

^***p < .001.