Table 2.
Survival models with teenage childbirth predicting poor offspring outcomes
| Model 1a | Model 2a | Model 3a | Model 4b | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b | SE | b | SE | b | SE | b | SE | |
| Offspring criminal convictions | ||||||||
| Violent criminal convictions | ||||||||
| Teenage childbirth (vs. adult childbirth) | 0.524* | 0.009 | 0.266* | 0.014 | 0.321* | 0.014 | −0.012 | 0.025 |
| Birth year (since 1960) | 0.013* | <0.001 | 0.013* | <0.001 | −0.025* | 0.002 | ||
| Teenage childbirth* year of birth | 0.025* | 0.001 | 0.017* | 0.001 | −0.003 | 0.002 | ||
| Other nonviolent convictions | ||||||||
| Teenage childbirth (vs. adult childbirth) | 0.300* | 0.007 | 0.127* | 0.011 | 0.144* | 0.011 | −0.042 | 0.018 |
| Birth year (since 1960) | −0.023* | <0.001 | −0.026* | <0.001 | −0.043* | 0.002 | ||
| Teenage childbirth* year of birth | 0.016* | 0.001 | 0.012* | 0.001 | 0.005 | 0.002 | ||
| Offspring poor academic performance | ||||||||
| Low academic attainment | ||||||||
| Teenage childbirth (vs. adult childbirth) | 0.785* | 0.009 | 0.393* | 0.030 | 0.425* | 0.031 | 0.103 | 0.063 |
| Birth year (since 1960) | 0.005* | <0.001 | 0.011* | <0.001 | −0.050* | 0.002 | ||
| Teenage childbirth* year of birth | 0.021* | 0.002 | 0.011* | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.003 | ||
| Low academic achievement | ||||||||
| Teenage childbirth (vs. adult childbirth) | 0.257* | 0.006 | 0.135* | 0.010 | 0.089* | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.015 |
| Birth year (since 1960) | 0.036* | <0.001 | 0.047* | <0.001 | 0.020* | 0.001 | ||
| Teenage childbirth* year of birth | 0.015* | 0.001 | 0.013* | 0.006 | <0.001 | 0.001 | ||
| Offspring substance-related outcomes | ||||||||
| Substance-related hospitalizations | ||||||||
| Teenage childbirth (vs. adult childbirth) | 0.346* | 0.013 | 0.374* | 0.021 | 0.315* | 0.021 | 0.210* | 0.034 |
| Birth year (since 1960) | 0.065* | 0.001 | 0.058* | 0.001 | 0.039* | 0.003 | ||
| Teenage childbirth* year of birth | 0.003* | 0.001 | −0.002* | 0.001 | −0.014* | 0.003 | ||
| Drug-related convictions | ||||||||
| Teenage childbirth (vs. adult childbirth) | 0.461* | 0.013 | 0.447* | 0.021 | 0.508* | 0.021 | 0.368* | 0.036 |
| Birth year (since 1960) | 0.053* | 0.001 | 0.044* | 0.001 | 0.014* | 0.003 | ||
| Teenage childbirth* year of birth | 0.007* | 0.001 | −0.002 | 0.001 | −0.033* | 0.003 | ||
| Driving-related convictions | ||||||||
| Teenage childbirth (vs. adult childbirth) | 0.429* | 0.010 | 0.251* | 0.015 | 0.288* | 0.014 | 0.099* | 0.028 |
| Birth year (since 1960) | −0.027* | 0.000 | −0.031* | 0.001 | −0.063* | 0.003 | ||
| Teenage childbirth* year of birth | 0.018* | 0.001 | 0.010* | 0.001 | −0.014* | 0.003 | ||
Note.
Based on N=3,162,239
Based on a fixed effects model examining differentially exposed siblings (N=485,259). Parameters are distributed as logits.
p<0.05