Table 2.
Benefits and Costs of Acute HIV Testing and Treatment Strategies Over 20 Years – Base Case
| HIV Ab | HIV VL | ICER relative to§ | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy* | New HIV Infections ¶ |
HIV Infections Prevented † |
Tests Admini- stered (millions) |
Tests Admin- istered (millions) |
Total Costs (billions) ¥ |
Total QALYs (millions) ¥ |
Incremental Costs‡ (billions) |
Incremental QALYs‡ |
Status Quo |
Next Best Strategy |
| 90% Annually, Ab+VL + Symptom-based |
499,376 | 38,995 (7.2%) |
118.28 | 120.19 | $1,283 | 176.39 | $13.65 | 389,711 | $35,032 | $105,398 |
| 90% Annually, Ab + Symptom-based |
507,591 | 30,780 (5.7%) |
118.31 | 38.88 | $1,276 | 176.32 | $6.43 | 321,164 | $20,013 | $29,923 |
| 67% Annually, Ab+VL + Symptom-based |
510,651 | 27,720 (5.1%) |
95.43 | 96.85 | $1,280 | 176.27 | $10.23 | 263,663 | $38,783 | Dominated |
| 67% Annually, Ab + Symptom-based |
515,925 | 22,446 (4.2%) |
95.44 | 38.85 | $1,275 | 176.22 | $4.97 | 218,085 | $22,786 | Dominated |
| 90% Annually, Ab | 523,448 | 14,923 (2.8%) |
87.68 | - | $1,272 | 176.19 | $2.31 | 183,535 | $12,582 | $12,582 |
| Status Quo (67% Annually, Ab) |
538,371 | 65.46 | - | $1,270 | 176.00 | |||||
Ab = antibody testing, VL = viral load testing.
New HIV infections and HIV infections prevented are undiscounted totals. Discounting infections at 3% annually reduces the number of infections averted for each strategy by approximately 25%.
The values in parentheses are the fraction of total HIV infections prevented.
Costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) are net present values (3% discount rate) over 20 years.
Incremental costs and QALYs are relative to the status quo.
ICER = Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, relative to the status quo or the next-best strategy. Strategies that are dominated yield fewer QALYs at higher cost than the comparator.