Table 2.
Most parsimonious model for each model class
Risk/mortality model |
Economic/investment model |
Cultural transmission model |
||||||
Variable*† | Sign | Importance | Variable*† | Sign | Importance | Variable*† | Sign | Importance |
Total fertility | Total fertility | Total fertility | ||||||
Child deaths in bari | + | 1.00 | Woman’s level of education | − | 0.95 | Woman’s level of education | − | 0.98 |
Woman in intervention area | − | 0.86 | Whether family owns land | + | 0.91 | Husband’s location | − | 0.85 |
Infant mortality rate‡ | + | 0.83 | Husband’s primary occupation | − | 0.87 | Woman in intervention area | − | 0.78 |
Life expectancy at birth‡ | + | 0.74 | Family engaged in agriculture | + | 0.73 | General fertility rate‡ | + | 0.69 |
Household income | + | 0.66 | ||||||
Surviving children | Surviving children | Surviving children | ||||||
Child deaths in bari | + | 0.95 | Family engaged in agriculture | + | 0.99 | Woman in intervention area | − | 0.78 |
Infant mortality rate‡ | + | 0.81 | Whether family owns land | + | 0.98 | Woman’s level of education | − | 0.70 |
Woman in intervention area | − | 0.69 | Woman’s level of education | − | 0.67 | Husband’s location | − | 0.67 |
Household income | + | 0.64 | General fertility rate‡ | + | 0.67 | |||
Exposure to modern media | + | 0.61 |
Variables are listed in order of importance.
Woman’s age and age at marriage are included as control variables in all models.
Figure given for the year of the woman’s marriage, when childbearing is likely to begin.