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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Apr 1.
Published in final edited form as: Med Care. 2013 Apr;51(4):361–367. doi: 10.1097/MLR.0b013e318287d860

Table 3.

Agreement of post-PET plan and claims-inferred actions at 30 days by cancer type

Bladder Kidney Ovary Pancreas Prostate SCL* Stomach P-value
Patients (total), n 1,127 1,070 2,075 862 1,974 720 632
Systemic therapy only planned, n 261 222 811 265 428 226 134
 PPV, % 66.7 40.1§ 65.0 65.3 64.7 64.6 51.5 <0.0001
 Raw Agreement,% 71.2 73.7 71.1 69.8 71.6 69.3 65.7 0.025
 Kappa 0.33 0.22 0.40 0.34 0.31 0.34 0.17 <0.0001
Radiation only planned, n 71 48 46 48 273 65 34
 PPV, % 74.6 66.7 67.4 64.6 56.1 78.4 35.3 0.002
 Raw Agreement, % 89.4 92.4 96.9 91.8 87.3 85.3 95.3 <0.0001
 Kappa 0.42 0.41 0.48 0.42 0.48 0.42 0.23 0.027
Surgery only planned, n 50 51 87 33 33 6 37
 PPV, % 44.0 54.9 57.5 33.3 27.3 33.3 35.3 0.020
 Raw Agreement, % 84.5 88.9 89.5 89.2 91.5 93.9 86.7 <0.0001
 Kappa 0.14 0.27 0.27 0.14 0.07 0.07 0.16 <.0001
Biopsy planned, n 150 146 176 74 248 60 85
 PPV, % 64.7 62.3 55.1 58.1 48.0 58.3 48.2 0.015
 Raw Agreement, % 74.4 78.6 80.5 82.3 81.2 88.5 75.2 <0.0001
 Kappa 0.27 0.32 0.23 0.27 0.28 0.40 0.21 <.0001
Watching, n 473 529 804 368 884 318 320
 PPV, % 70.8 80.9 74.1 73.4 73.3 68.2 66.3 <0.0001
 Raw Agreement, % 71.0 67.0 69.1 69.6 68.2 69.4 60.8 0.001
 Kappa 0.41 0.34 0.38 0.39 0.37 0.38 0.21 <0.0001

PPV: positive predictive value, i. e. proportion of NOPR patient with the plan showing claims confirming actual management.

Raw agreement: percentage of patients whose plans agree with claim for or without a specified action.

Kappa: raw agreement, adjusted for agreement by chance assuming independence of plan and actual management.

SCL: Small cell lung

§

A Medicare Part D drugs claims sample of a 40% sample of Medicare beneficiaries was available at Dartmouth. 45% of NOPR patients for all cancer types and indications were successfully linked to their Part D claims. We found for kidney cancer patients with chemotherapy only 6 of 222 patients had claims not previously identified.

p-values were calculated for between cancer type differences.

Appendix 3 includes results for agreements at 30 days with 95% confidence intervals plus at 60 days along with 95% confidence intervals.