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. 2013 May 2;32(3):148–158. doi: 10.5414/NP300646

Textbox. Illustrative generic example of a biomarker in medicine which can be used as prognostic, predictive or diagnostic biomarker, depending on the issue of interest:

1. Prognostic biomarker:
Core criterion of a prognostic biomarker: provides information with regard to some outcome over time (e.g., phenotype, survival, etc.).
Proband: child, gender is unknown
Question: as this child grows up, will it adopt a male or female phenotype?
Biomarker: sex chromosomal status from karyogram
Result of biomarker analysis: XY sex chromosomal status
Outcome: when this child becomes an adult, it will adopt a male phenotype, because it is biologically male
This example illustrates that a prognostic marker allows to foresee the result of a natural development over time.
2. Predictive biomarker:
Core criterion of a predictive biomarker: provides information whether a particular intervention or therapy is likely to be effective in the tested person or not.
Proband: young adult person of unknown gender
Question: will the administration of oral contraceptives be effective?
Biomarker: sex chromosomal status from karyogram
Result of biomarker analysis: XX sex chromosomal status
Outcome: administration of oral contraceptives will be effective, because the person is biologically female
This example illustrates that a predictive biomarker allows foreseeing the effect of a particular intervention depending on the status of the biomarker.
3. Diagnostic biomarker:
Core criterion of a diagnostic biomarker: identifies / confirms a particular entity.
Proband: person, gender is unknown
Question: is this person biologically female or male?
Biomarker: sex chromosomal status from karyogram
Result of biomarker analysis: XY sex chromosomal status
Interpretation: This person is biologically male
This example illustrates that a diagnostic biomarker identifies/confirms a particular entity.