Figure A1.

Order posteriors and hit rate analyses for polynomial segment orders between 0 and 7, using fitted trajectories of several orders as ground truth. Vertical red lines in the order posteriors indicate ground truth order. Dashed lines in the hit rate analyses: line of no discrimination. Results for ground truth order 3 were depicted above in Figure 3C. Order posteriors are maximal at the respective ground truth orders, i.e., the correct order is recovered by BB with high probability. Hit rates are near one, with almost no false positives if and only if the ground truth order and BB order match. Error bars (standard errors of the means of hit rate and false positive rate) are mostly smaller than the symbols.