Table 3.

Multinomial Logistic Regression Estimates From Model Predicting College Attendance (2 or 4 Year Vs. No Attendance) Among Those Age 15 or Older in 1997 (n = 3,062)

	Without College Expectation						With College Expectation

Variables	2 Year			4 Year			2 Year			4 Year

	B	SE	RRR	B	SE	RRR	B	SE	RRR	B	SE	RRR
Fertility expectation^a	−0.03	0.02	0.97	−0.11^**	0.03	0.89	−0.01	0.02	0.99	−0.07^*	0.03	0.93
College expectation^a							0.16^***	0.02	1.17	0.28^***	0.03	1.32
Age at first sex (ref.: 15 and Below)
16 and 17	−0.08	0.14	0.92	0.14	0.18	1.15	−0.10	0.15	0.91	0.12	0.18	1.13
18 and above	0.10	0.14	1.10	0.49^**	0.17	1.62	0.08	0.14	1.08	0.45^*	0.17	1.57
Male	−0.48^***	0.12	0.62	−0.64^***	0.13	0.53	−0.35^**	0.12	0.71	−0.45^**	0.14	0.64
Race/ethnicity (ref. non-Hispanic White)
Non-Hispanic Black	0.03	0.14	1.03	0.52^**	0.17	1.69	−0.11	0.15	0.89	0.33	0.18	1.39
Hispanic	0.40^*	0.16	1.50	−0.01	0.20	0.99	0.31	0.16	1.37	−0.10	0.20	0.90
Others	0.75^*	0.32	2.12	0.44	0.33	1.55	0.60	0.32	1.82	0.26	0.34	1.30
Parent’s education (ref.: high school)
Less than high school	−0.26	0.17	0.77	−0.49	0.25	0.61	−0.26	0.18	0.77	−0.52	0.26	0.59
Some college	0.71^***	0.14	2.04	0.89^***	0.18	2.43	0.63^***	0.14	1.88	0.76^***	0.18	2.15
College	1.15^***	0.17	3.16	2.10^***	0.19	8.19	0.92^***	0.18	2.51	1.79^***	0.19	6.00
Family structure (ref.: two biological parents)
Stepfamily	0.01	0.15	1.01	−0.18	0.18	0.83	0.02	0.15	1.02	−0.18	0.18	0.84
Single mother	−0.01	0.14	0.99	−0.51^**	0.17	0.60	−0.00	0.15	1.00	−0.52^*	0.18	0.59
Other family	−0.27	0.30	0.76	−0.98^*	0.36	0.37	−0.16	0.32	0.86	−0.87^*	0.39	0.42
High school math (ref.: Algebra II or pre-calculus)
Geometry and below	−0.85^***	0.14	0.43	−1.85^***	0.25	0.16	−0.69^***	0.14	0.50	−1.59^***	0.25	0.20
Calculus	0.23	0.16	1.25	1.52^***	0.16	4.57	0.10	0.17	1.10	1.34^***	0.16	3.81
High school GPA (centered to 3)	0.46^***	0.10	1.58	1.21^***	0.17	3.36	0.42^***	0.10	1.52	1.13^***	0.17	3.11
GED or high school diploma	2.32^***	0.27	10.17	2.62^***	0.56	13.77	2.32^***	0.27	10.18	2.55^***	0.59	12.86
Constant	−1.89^***	0.32		−2.65^***	0.59		−3.04^***	0.36		−4.68^***	0.68

Note: Analyses are weighted. RRR = relative risk ratio; ref. = reference.

Fertility and college expectations are scaled so that the coefficient represents the estimated impact of a 10% point change in the perceived probability of becoming a parent by age 20 (or of having a college degree by age 30).

p < .05.

^**

p < .01.

^***

p < .001.