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. 2012 Oct 16;90(3):369–387. doi: 10.1007/s11524-012-9769-4

Table 1.

Univariate ARIMA models for birth-outcome-dependent variables in NYC and Madrid, goodness-of-fit statistics and stationary R2 for birth-outcome-dependent variables in NYC and Madrid

Sites and outcomes Model (p, d, q) (P, D, Q) Q statistics Stationary R2
NYC
 LBW (0,1,1) (0,0,0) Q = 12.2 df = 17 p = 0.786 0.25
 Preterm birth (1,0,0) (1,0,1) Q = 13.9 df = 15 p = 0.534 0.08
 IMR (0,1,1) (1,1,1) Q = 20.1 df = 15 p = 0.170 0.65
Madrid
 LBW (0,1,1) (1,1,0)a Q = 17.5 df = 16 p = 0.354 0.72
 Preterm birth (1,0,0) (1,0,1)a Q = 16.6 df = 15 p = 0.341 0.55
 IMR (0,1,1) (0,1,1) Q = 9.9 df = 16 p = 0.874 0.63

aControlled for outliers