Table 3.
Parameter estimates with 95% confidence interval (in parentheses) for the association of mosquito density (per trap/house) with climatic variables based on univariable Poisson regression models at different lag points in time
IRR‡ (95% CI) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Climatic variables |
Current month |
One month lag |
Two months lag |
Three months lag |
Rainfall(mm) |
1.550 ∗(1.443, 1.665) |
1.567 ∗(1.433, 1.715) |
1.407 ∗(1.264, 1.566) |
1.226(1.127, 1.334) |
Relative humidity(%) |
1.095 ∗∗(1.069, 1.122) |
1.091 ∗∗(1.062, 1.121) |
1.060 ∗ (1.034, 1.085) |
1.027(1.013, 1.041) |
Minimum temperature(oC) |
1.525 ∗∗(1.320, 1.761) |
1.900 ∗∗(1.454, 2.474) |
2.138 ∗∗(1.599, 2.860) |
1.853 ∗∗(1.494, 2.298) |
Maximum temperature(oC) | 0.580 ∗(0.474, 0.709) | 0.644 ∗(0.527, 0.788) | 0.788 ∗(0.635, 0.977) | 1.033(0.940, 1.135) |
∗Significant at P < 0.05, ∗∗ Significant at P < 0.01.
†Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR): is obtained by exponentiating the Poisson regression coefficient and it is a ratio based on the rate or incidence of counts.