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. 2013 May 31;8(5):e65036. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0065036

Table 1. Probability parameters used in the economic model.

Base casea Distribution References
Vaccine parameters
Vaccine efficacy (%)
Initial vaccine efficacy (14 months) 89.96 Triangular (64;89.96;98) [29], [30]
Initial vaccine efficacy (12 years) 95.95 Triangular (92;95.95;99) [29], [30]
Adverse events
Number of AE per 10,000 immunizations 3.48 Beta (4764;13691736) [48]
Number of AR per 10,000 immunizations 0.02 Beta (27;13696473) [48]
Vaccination coverage (%)
14 months 95.9 Fixed [49]
12 years 94.0 Fixed [50]
Disease parameters
ACWY incidence (per 100,000 persons) 0.15 (age dependent) Beta (25;16431651) [15]
Clinical features (%)
Meningococcal disease 65.1 Beta (443;238) [51], [52]
Meningococcal disease with septic shock 34.9 Dependent of MD [51], [52]
Case fatality (%)
Case fatality rate MD 2.1 Beta (8;372) [51]
Case fatality rate MDS 13.0 Beta (21;140) [51]
Sequelae (%)
Scars 2.8 Beta (16;546) [4]
Amputations 0.7 Beta (4;558) [4]
Neurological sequelae 6.9 Beta (127;1707) [3], [4], [39]
Demographic parameters
Birth cohort 185,000 Fixed [18]
Adolescent cohort (aged 12 years) 200,000 Fixed [18]
Probability of being a girl 49.0% Fixed [18]
Probability of being a boy 51.0% Fixed [18]
Probability of dying of other causes Age dependent Fixed [15], [18]

AE = adverse event, AR = Anaphylactic reactions, MD = meningococcal disease without septic shock, MDS = meningococcal disease with septic shock.

a

Values are presented as percentages or rates.