Table 3. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios and threshold analyses with and without herd-immunity against serogroup AWY.
ICER a [€/QALY (95% CI)] | Threshold incidence per 100,000 persons for €50,000/QALY | ||||
Base case incidence a | 2011 incidence b | Base case c | 2011 scenario d | ||
No herd-immunity against AWY | |||||
MenACWY vs MenC | c.s. (c.s.-c.s.) | c.s. (c.s.-c.s.) | N.A. | N.A. | |
MenACWY+MenACWY vs MenC | |||||
Waning rate booster 0.04 | 635,334 (259,672–1,121,856) | 473,398 (179,847–849,293) | 1.53 | 0.98 | |
No waning booster | 367,978 (151,968–649,963) | 307,743 (114,982–554,719) | 0.91 | 0.65 | |
MenACWY+MenACWY vs MenACWY | |||||
Waning rate booster 0.04 | 988,490 (440,833–1,675,575) | 621,307 (251,868–1,089,972) | 2.37 | 1.28 | |
No waning booster | 518,405 (224,848–887,791) | 396,431 (160,174–700,855) | 1.28 | 0.83 | |
MenACWY+MenACWY vs MenACWYe | |||||
Waning rate booster 0.04 | c.s. (c.s. −3,168) | c.s. (c.s. −2,908) | N.A. | N.A. | |
No waning booster | c.s. (c.s. −3,269) | c.s. (c.s. −2,867) | N.A. | N.A. | |
Herd-immunity against AWY | |||||
MenACWY+MenACWY vs MenC | |||||
Waning rate booster 0.04 | 247,279 (101,873–426,876) | 204,170 (76,617–365,845) | 0.61 | 0.43 | |
No waning booster | 190,073 (75,665–331,131) | 163,264 (59,144–293,917) | 0.48 | 0.35 | |
MenACWY+MenACWY vs MenACWY | |||||
Waning rate booster 0.04 | 359,264 (166,041–593,227) | 268,094 (110,297–466,305) | 0.87 | 0.56 | |
No waning booster | 267,157 (119,263–447,724) | 212,846 (84,860–372,550) | 0.66 | 0.45 |
QALY = quality adjusted life year, c.s. = cost-saving, N.A. = not applicable.
Base case incidence (average 2007–2011): 0.10 cases of serogroup A,W135,Y and 0.05 cases of serogroup C per 100,000 persons.
2011 incidence: 0.11 cases of serogroup A,W135,Y and 0.02 cases of serogroup C per 100,000 persons.
Using the average age-distribution of the serogroup A,C,W135 and Y incidence of 2007–2011.
Using the age-distribution of the serogroup A,C,W135 and Y incidence of 2011.
Scenario analysis: compared with MenACWY at 14 months with only direct effects of vaccination and the incidence of C of 2001: 2.09 cases of serogroup C per 100,000 persons.