TABLE 3—
Model 1 |
Model 2 |
Model 3 |
Model 4 |
|||||
Variable | Pre-Prop36 | Post-Prop36 | Pre-Prop36 | Post-Prop36 | Pre-Prop36 | Post-Prop36 | Pre-Prop36 | Post-Prop36 |
Blacks vs Whites | ||||||||
OR (95% CI) | 0.469** (0.423, 0.521) | 0.684** (0.617, 0.758) | 0.410** (0.369, 0.456) | 0.632** (0.569, 0.702) | 0.673** (0.603, 0.751) | 0.741** (0.665, 0.826) | 0.681*** (0.606, 0.765) | 0.727*** (0.648, 0.816) |
Robust standard error | 0.025 | 0.036 | 0.022 | 0.034 | 0.038 | 0.041 | 0.041 | 0.043 |
Demographics | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Arrest characteristics | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Criminal history | No | No | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
County-fixed effectsa | No | No | No | No | No | No | Yes | Yes |
Sample, no. | 44 079 | 52 363 | 44 079 | 52 363 | 44 079 | 52 363 | 44 062 | 52 363 |
Cluster, no. | 21 941 | 26 353 | 21 941 | 26 353 | 21 941 | 26 353 | 21 933 | 26 353 |
Test statistic for difference in coefficients: pre- vs post-Prop36b | −4.930** | −5.473** | −1.228 | −0.790 | ||||
Hispanics vs Whites | ||||||||
OR (95% CI) | 0.761** (0.713, 0.811) | 0.809** (0.760, 0.861) | 0.747** (0.699, 0.797) | 0.839** (0.787, 0.894) | 0.655** (0.613, 0.701) | 0.828** (0.776, 0.884) | 0.628*** (0.586, 0.674) | 0.742*** (0.694, 0.793) |
Robust standard error | 0.025 | 0.026 | 0.025 | 0.027 | 0.022 | 0.027 | 0.022 | 0.025 |
Demographics | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Arrest characteristics | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Criminal history | No | No | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
County-fixed effectsa | No | No | No | No | No | No | Yes | Yes |
Sample, no. | 61 395 | 85 505 | 61 395 | 85 505 | 61 395 | 85 505 | 61 376 | 85 042 |
Cluster, no. | 33 660 | 45 538 | 33 660 | 45 538 | 33 660 | 45 538 | 33 650 | 45 272 |
Test statistic for difference in coefficients: pre- vs post-Prop36b | −1.336 | −2.486** | −4.895** | −3.356** |
Note. CI = confidence interval; OR = odds ratio.
Models with county-fixed effects have a slightly smaller sample size because counties with no variation dropped out of the regression.
Z-test statistic for comparison of coefficients.
*P < .05; **P < .01; ***P < .001.