Table 1.
Accuracy of IL-6 and IL-1ra for predicting 48-hour survival by receiver operator characteristic test
Study | Marker | Sensitivity (%) | Specificitya (%) | Area Under the Curveb | SEM | 95% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Confidence | Interval | ||||||
Current | IL-6 | 89 | 97 | 0.902 | 0.093 | 0.719 | 0.999 |
Previousc | IL-6 | 61 | 99 | 0.898 | 0.042 | 0.815 | 0.979 |
Current | IL-1ra | 46 | 98 | 0.866 | 0.048 | 0.774 | 0.959 |
Previous | IL-1ra | 30 | 100 | 0.862 | 0.042 | 0.780 | 0.944 |
IL, interleukin.
Sensitivity and specificity were chosen based on cutoffs favoring specificity to avoid inclusion of animals with low risk of death into the dexamethasone treatment subgroup;
area under the curve defines value of the given marker as a diagnostic test for outcome;
calculated based on the data from Osuchowski et al (14).