Table 2.

Model performance for each race and age level, United States 1982-2004.

	White				African American
Age	40-49	50-59	60-69	70+	40-49	50-59	60-69	70+
D(θ)	33874.89	38709.78	40103.15	38129.81	13305.50	12929.37	15334.33	17746.79
pd	92.41	46.62	44.65	51.69	132.60	153.63	133.27	170.91
DIC	33967.30	38756.40	40147.80	38181.50	13438.10	13083.00	15467.60	17917.70
σ u 2	0.001	0.0003	0.0002	0.0001	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01
σ s 2	1.06	0.77	0.59	0.31	0.65	0.71	0.69	0.67
ρ (%)	99.88	99.97	99.97	99.97	98.21	98.16	98.72	98.92

Abbreviation: D(θ) = posterior mean of the deviance; p_d = effect number of parameters. DIC = deviance information criteria. σ_u² = structured spatial variance; σ_s² = unstructured spatial variance; ρ = proportion of the structured spatial variance in total spatial variance, i.e., σ_s²/(σ_u²+ σ_s²)×100%