Table 3.

Subjective Beliefs about Being Stopped and convicted Next Year

	Stopped		Stopped if DD		Stopped if DD (3rd)		Convicted if Stopped		Convicted if Stopped (3rd)
	(1)	(2)†	(3)	(4)†	(5)	(6)†	(7)	(8)†	(9)	(10)†
Black male	0.043* (0.019)	0.023 (0.019)	0.156** (0.042)	0.140** (0.042)	0.159** (0.022)	0.141** (0.022)	−0.254** (0.095)	−0.218* (0.097)	0.002 (0.052)	−0.009 (0.052)
White female	−0.007 (0.007)	−0.005 (0.007)	0.068** (0.015)	0.061** (0.016)	0.030** (0.008)	0.030** (0.008)	−0.115** (0.033)	−0.090** (0.034)	−0.088** (0.019)	−0.075** (0.020)
Black female	−0.017 (0.013)	−0.024 (0.013)	0.040 (0.030)	0.017 (0.032)	0.065** 0.015)	0.053** (0.016)	−0.289** (0.070)	−0.228** (0.073)	−0.195** (0.035)	−0.172** (0.037)
Prior arrest/citation		0.005 (0.020)		0.003 (0.054)		0.064** (0.024)		−0.023 (0.104)		0.102 (0.056)
Binge drinker		0.023** (0.008)		0.003 (0.021)		−0.012 (0.010)		0.014 (0.045)		0.054* (0.023)
Heavy drinker		0.046** (0.016)		−0.004 (0.039)		0.004 (0.019)		−0.149 (0.089)		0.077 (0.045)
Heavy binge drinker		0.059** (0.010)		−0.004 (0.023)		−0.010 (0.011)		0.113* (0.049)		0.111** (0.026)
Educational attainment (yrs.)		−0.007** (0.002)		−0.012** (0.004)		−0.007** (0.002)		0.007 (0.009)		−0.015** (0.005)
Married		−0.026** (0.008)		−0.036* (0.017)		−0.009 (0.009)		0.032 (0.037)		−0.041* (0.021)
Age		−0.001* (0.000)		−0.001 (0.001)		0.000 (0.000)		0.001 (0.001)		0.000 (0.001)
Income		−0.001 (0.006)		−0.011 (0.014)		−0.014* (0.007)		0.010 (0.029)		0.010 (0.016)
Constant	0.056** (0.005)	0.177** (0.033)	0.152** (0.010)	0.400** (0.074)	0.075** (0.006)	0.175** (0.038)	0.472** (0.022)	0.250 (0.159)	0.663** (0.014)	0.787** (0.090)
N	1,226	1,226	745	745	1,229	1,229	686	686	1,228	1,228
R-squared	0.007	0.102	0.037	0.082	0.052	0.093	0.040	0.071	0.033	0.091

Standard errors in parentheses;

^**p<0.01,

^*p<0.05;

^†covariates for income mission and city included but not shown