Figure 2.

Predictors of CST spillover and historical host shifts for bat rabies virus sampled in North America. For each potential predictor, the Bayes factor (BF) support and the conditional effect sizes (cESs) obtained using a homogeneous (squares) and a branch-partitioned GLM diffusion approach (circles) implemented in BEAST are shown (posterior mean and 95% Bayesian credible interval, BCI). The contribution of external (related to CST spillover) and internal (historical host shifts) branch substitution processes is shown separately using empty and filled circles, respectively. Note that the credible intervals for the cES of the predictors with BF above three exclude zero, which can be considered as an additional indication for its importance.