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. 2013 Mar 19;368(1614):20120199. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2012.0199

Table 1.

Key findings of molecular and epidemiological studies describing the spatial transmission dynamics of the 2009 influenza A/H1N1 pandemic.

pandemic period epidemiological studies molecular studies
early pandemic stage (Jan–July 2009): — first cases in an outbreak in the community of La Gloria, Mexico: 15 February 2009 [28]
— little community transmission; multiple introductions
— few locations experience spring wave (greater Mexico City area, some US cities, London) [29]
— temperate Southern Hemisphere and tropical locations in Asia and Latin America experience summer waves
— Closing schools early in the pandemic reduces transmission by 30–50%
— most likely time of origin in Mexico: January–February 2009 [28,31]
— dissemination from Mexico to the USA during February to April [32]
— spread from the USA to Europe and Asia [32]
— spring wave in the USA: strong spatial structure and co-circulating lineages in the USA [33]
— summer wave in Scotland: a major lineage originated in UK and other multiple introductions from both international and UK sites [34]
— low level of on-site transmission and intensive spatial mixing within an individual community in San Diego [35]
late stage (Aug–Dec 2009): — slow spread of the autumn wave in the USA driven by distance; little impact of school closures [30]
— great diversity in number, timing, and intensity of pandemic waves between and within countries [30]
— autumn wave in the USA: less spatial structure; single lineage-dominated [33]
— single lineage-dominated worldwide in autumn [33]
— winter wave in Scotland: more diverse genetically with several clades of similar sizes in different locations; extensive mixing [34]