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. 2013 Jun 13;8(6):e65761. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0065761

Table 1. Akaike’s information criterion (AIC) for selected (Gaussian) models on Box-Cox transformed data.

Model Excluding rainfall Including rainfall
SARIMA(3′,1,0)×(1,0,0)12 1638.61 1640.35
SARIMA(3′,1,0)×(0,0,1)12 1638.95 1640.74
SARIMA(0,1,3′)×(1,0,0)12 1638.44 1640.36
SARIMA(0,1,3′)×(0,0,1)12 1638.79 1640.74
ARIMA(3′,1,0)-SOH 1632.2 1630.68
ARIMA(0,1,3′)-SOH 1631.27 1630.07

Legend: SOH: second order harmonics. For all these models, where applicable, the autoregrdessive (Inline graphic and Inline graphic) or moving average parameters (Inline graphic and Inline graphic) corresponding to the first two lags were omitted.