Table 1. Akaike’s information criterion (AIC) for selected (Gaussian) models on Box-Cox transformed data.
Model | Excluding rainfall | Including rainfall |
SARIMA(3′,1,0)×(1,0,0)12 | 1638.61 | 1640.35 |
SARIMA(3′,1,0)×(0,0,1)12 | 1638.95 | 1640.74 |
SARIMA(0,1,3′)×(1,0,0)12 | 1638.44 | 1640.36 |
SARIMA(0,1,3′)×(0,0,1)12 | 1638.79 | 1640.74 |
ARIMA(3′,1,0)-SOH | 1632.2 | 1630.68 |
ARIMA(0,1,3′)-SOH | 1631.27 | 1630.07 |
Legend: SOH: second order harmonics. For all these models, where applicable, the autoregrdessive ( and ) or moving average parameters ( and ) corresponding to the first two lags were omitted.