Table II.

 Multiple Logistic Regression Models for Incident Hypertension

Covariate	3 Years (AUC=0.742)		6 Years (AUC=0.750)		9 Years (AUC=0.791)		Ever (AUC=0.775)
	Odds Ratio (95% CI)	P Value	Odds Ratio (95% CI)	P Value	Odds Ratio (95% CI)	P Value	Odds Ratio (95% CI)	P Value
Age (1‐y increment)	1.14 (1.08–1.19)	<.0001	1.07 (1.02–1.12)	.0093	1.23 (1.17–1.29)	<.0001	1.17 (1.12–1.22)	<.0001
Female	1.01 (0.89–1.15)	.86	1.09 (0.97–1.22)	.141	1.50 (1.34–1.68)	<.0001	1.34 (1.21–1.48)	<.0001
Systolic BP (1‐mm Hg increment)	1.06 (1.06–1.07)	<.0001	1.07 (1.03–1.12)	<.001	1.09 (1.08–1.09)	<.0001	1.08 (1.07–1.08)	<.0001
Diastolic BP (1‐mm Hg increment)	1.13 (1.08–1.18)	<.0001	1.07 (1.03–1.12)	.0007	1.18 (1.13–1.24)	<.0001	1.13 (1.09–1.17)	<.0001
Current smoker	1.24 (1.09–1.40)	.0011	1.23 (1.10–1.38)	.0003	1.27 (1.14–1.42)	<.0001	1.34 (1.22–1.48)	<.0001
Family history of hypertension	1.14 (1.01–1.28)	.038	1.19 (1.07–1.33)	.0015	1.38 (1.23–1.54)	<.0001	1.26 (1.14–1.39)	<.0001
Body mass index (1‐kg2/m increment)	1.03 (1.02–1.04)	<.0001	1.05 (1.03–1.06)	<.0001	1.03 (1.02–1.05)	<.0001	1.04 (1.03–1.05)	<.0001
Age–diastolic BP interaction	1.00 (1.00–1.00)	<.0001	1.19 (1.07–1.33)	.0098	1.38 (1.23–1.54)	<.0001	1.00 (1.00–1.00)	<.0001
Diabetes	1.48 (1.20–1.81)	.0002	1.30 (1.06–1.60)	.0106	1.28 (1.02–1.61)	.0334	1.59 (1.30–1.93)	<.0001
No exercise	1.14 (0.99–1.30)	.0650	1.17 (1.03–1.32)	.0125	1.12 (0.99–1.27)	.0750	1.17 (1.05–1.31)	.0044

Abbreviations: AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; BP, blood pressure; CI, confidence interval.