Table 3.
Linear models used to predict the dispersal of butterflies. Four dispersal measurements were modeled from their relationships with a variety of traits (body size, demography, behaviors and ecological specialization were proposed as independent variables). See text for the procedure of model selection. The lower part of the table shows models with wing size as the only regressor, taken for comparison in this study
Response | GLM selected when 17 life-history traits and wing size were proposed | Contribution to R2 | Estimate | F | df | P | Adj.R2 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean dispersal distance | Intercept | −3.805 | −3.805 | 17.03 | 11–17 | <0.0001 | 0.863 |
Larval growth rate | 0.276 | −0.032*** | |||||
Adult habitat range 1 | 0.068 | −0.372* | |||||
Adult habitat range 2 | 0.092 | 0.125 (ns) | |||||
Ovigeny index 1 | 0.085 | −3.187*** | |||||
Ovigeny index 2 | 0.071 | 3.249*** | |||||
Mate location | 0.104 | 0.444* | |||||
Ripe egg load | 0.062 | 0.190*** | |||||
Adult lifetime | 0.056 | 0.053** | |||||
Mate location × larval dietary breadth | 0.043 | −0.380*** | |||||
Larval growth rate × mate location | 0.032 | 0.006* | |||||
Larval dietary breadth | 0.028 | 1.466*** | |||||
Frequency of long-distance dispersal | intercept | −3.214 | 21.45 | 8–19 | <0.0001 | 0.858 | |
Length of flight period 1 | 0.058 | −1.273** | |||||
Length of flight period 2 | 0.335 | −1.906*** | |||||
Log (wing size) | 0.148 | 0.846** | |||||
Voltinism × adult habitat range | 0.142 | 0.291* | |||||
Voltinism | 0.126 | −0.779 (ns) | |||||
Adult habitat range | 0.046 | −0.465 (ns) | |||||
Ovigeny index | 0.024 | 0.328* | |||||
Larval dietary breadth | 0.021 | −0.151 (ns) | |||||
Dispersal propensity | Intercept | −0.586 | 16.79 | 9–15 | <0.001 | 0.856 | |
Thermal tolerance, 1 | 0.037 | −0.029 | |||||
Thermal tolerance, 2 | 0.290 | −0.446*** | |||||
Overwintering stage | 0.201 | −0.122*** | |||||
Myrmecophily | 0.164 | −0.031*** | |||||
Ripe egg load | 0.096 | 0.036*** | |||||
Female precision | 0.039 | −0.006*** | |||||
Ovigeny | 0.029 | 0.286* | |||||
Ovigeny × ripe egg load | 0.035 | −0.047** | |||||
Ovigeny × female precision | 0.018 | −0.040* | |||||
Gene flow | Intercept | 0.515 | 10.09 | 6–19 | <0.0001 | 0.775 | |
Fecundity | 0.245 | −0.004** | |||||
Female maturation | 0.173 | 0.037*** | |||||
Voltinism | 0.122 | 0.120 (ns) | |||||
Ripe egg load | 0.080 | −0.022 (ns) | |||||
Fecundity × ripe egg load | 0.079 | 0.014*** | |||||
Voltinism × ripe egg load | 0.076 | −0.023** | |||||
GLM with wing size only | |||||||
Mean dispersal distance | Intercept | – | −6.501 | 11.4 | 1–27 | 0.002 | 0.270 |
Log (wing size) | 1.529** | ||||||
Frequency of long-distance dispersal | Intercept | – | −6.805 | 9.86 | 1–26 | 0.005 | 0.247 |
Log (wing size) | 1.571** | ||||||
Dispersal propensity | Intercept | – | −1.708 | 9.87 | 1–23 | 0.005 | 0.270 |
Log (wing size) | 0.305 ** | ||||||
Gene flow | Intercept | – | 0.753 | 0.14 | 1–24 | 0.720 | −0.036 |
Log (wing size) | 0.001 (ns) |
***P < 0.001; **0.001 > P> 0.01; *0.01 > P > 0.05; ns: P > 0.1.
Contribution to R2 after the method of Lindeman et al. (1980)