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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Biol Psychiatry. 2013 Feb 4;74(1):7–14. doi: 10.1016/j.biopsych.2012.12.007

Table 2.

Comparison of model performance in training, testing, and validation data sets

Logistic Regression Naïve Bayes Random Forest Support Vector
Training set (cross-validation)
AUC 0.714 0.037 0.716 0.039 0.706 0.037* 0.697 0.042*
Specificity 0.867 0.031 0.783 0.035* 0.886 0.032^ 0.917 0.041^
Sensitivity 0.353 0.058 0.519 0.064^ 0.336 0.053* 0.217 0.068*

Testing set
AUC 0.712 0.023 0.698 0.024 0.693 0.024 0.706 0.023
Specificity 0.870 0.019 0.781 0.023 0.889 0.016 0.920 0.015
Sensitivity 0.332 0.033 0.492 0.036 0.337 0.033 0.241 0.029
X2 p val X2 p val X2 p val X2 p val
Calibration 4.09 0.5 102.73 <.001 5.04 0.4 17.02 0.005

Validation set
AUC 0.719 0.024
Specificity 0.911 0.016
Sensitivity 0.259 0.036
X2 p val
Calibration 2.38 0.8
^

, superior to logistic regression (p<0.05)

*

, inferior to logistic regression (p<0.05)

AUC, area under receiver operating characteristic curve