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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Jun 24.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Intern Med. 2012 Apr 17;156(8):541–550. doi: 10.1059/0003-4819-156-8-201204170-00001

Table 2.

Benefits and Costs of PrEP Strategies Over 20 Years – General MSM Population

ICER Relative to§
Strategy* New HIV
Infections
HIV Infections
Prevented†
HIV Prevalence
at 20 Years
Total Costs of
PrEP (billions) ¥#
Total Costs
(billions)¥
Total QALYs¥ Incremental Costs¥‡ (billions) Incremental QALYs¥‡ No PrEP Next Lower
Level of PrEP
100% Start PrEP 242,627 249,156 (51%) 6.4% $495 $1,366 117,488,043 $480 2,217,732 $216,480 $253,645
50% Start PrEP 348,492 143,291 (29%) 7.9% $247 $1,124 116,533,983 $238 1,263,673 $188,421 $201,012
20% Start PrEP 429,025 62,759 (13%) 9.0% $98 $980 115,820,477 $95 550,166 $172,091 $172,091
Status Quo (No PrEP) 491,784 9.9% $886 115,270,310
*

PrEP = preexposure prophylaxis.

New HIV infections and HIV infections prevented are undiscounted totals. Discounting infections at 3% annually reduces the number of infections averted for each strategy by approximately 22%.

†

The values in parentheses are the fraction of total HIV infections prevented.

¥

Costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) are net present values (3% annual discount rate) over 20 years.

#

Total costs of PrEP include the cost of antiretroviral drugs for PrEP, costs of monitoring tests and physician visits, and initiation and discontinuation costs.

‡

Incremental costs and QALYs are relative to the status quo.

§

ICER = Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, relative to the status quo of no PrEP use or the next lower level of PrEP use (i.e., the PrEP use scenario in the row below, with a lower percentage of MSM starting PrEP).