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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Jun 24.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Intern Med. 2012 Apr 17;156(8):541–550. doi: 10.1059/0003-4819-156-8-201204170-00001

Table 3.

Benefits and Costs of PrEP Strategies Over 20 Years – High-Risk MSM

ICER Relative to§
Strategy* New HIV
Infections
HIV
Infections
Prevented†
HIV
Prevalence
at 20
Years
Total
Costs of
PrEP
(billions)
¥#
Total
Costs
(billions)¥
Total
QALYs¥
Incremental
Costs¥‡
(billions)
Incremental
QALYs¥‡
No PrEP Next
Lower
Level of
PrEP
100% of High-Risk Start PrEP 155,728 167,143 (52%) 17% $85 $272 21,628,307 $75 1,439,261 $52,443 $62,818
50% of High-Risk Start PrEP 227,686 95,185 (29%) 23% $42 $233 21,006,700 $36 817,655 $44,556 $47,803
20% of High-Risk Start PrEP 281,809 41,061 (13%) 28% $17 $210 20,541,886 $14 352,840 $40,279 $40,279
Status Quo (No PrEP) 322,871 31% $196 20,189,046
*

PrEP = preexposure prophylaxis. These strategies do not include any benefits to low-risk MSM, since we did not model mixing between high- and low-risk MSM in the high-risk analysis.

New HIV infections and HIV infections prevented are undiscounted totals. Discounting infections at 3% annually reduces the number of infections averted for each strategy by approximately 24%.

†

The values in parentheses are the fraction of total HIV infections prevented.

¥

Costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) are net present values (3% annual discount rate) over 20 years.

#

Total costs of PrEP include the cost of antiretroviral drugs for PrEP, costs of monitoring tests and physician visits, and initiation and discontinuation costs.

‡

Incremental costs and QALYs are relative to the status quo.

§

ICER = Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, relative to the status quo of no PrEP use or the next lower level of PrEP use (i.e., the PrEP use scenario in the row below, with a lower percentage of MSM starting PrEP).