Table 4. Incremental cost effectiveness of pneumococcal vaccination in Kenya and sensitivity analysis of the impact of indirect effects for PCV10 and PCV13.
Vaccine costs(US $) | Treatment costs (US $) | Net costs(US $) | Pneumococcal cases | Pneumococcal deaths | Discounted DALYs | Cost (US$) per case averted (95% CI) | Cost per (US$)per deathaverted (95% CI) | Cost (US$) per DALY averted (95% CI) | |
Base case(0–59 month old children only and no indirect effects) | |||||||||
No pneumococcal vaccination | 17,100,167 | 4,578,815 | 21,678,982 | 93,217 | 13,947 | 459,145 | |||
With PCV10 | 31,137,435 | 2,609,271 | 33,746,705 | 53,629 | 7,831 | 256,301 | |||
Increment | 14,037,764 | −1,969,545 | 12,067,723 | 39,588 | 6,116 | 202,844 | 300 (145–488) | 1,958 (913–3,425) | 59 (26–103) |
With PCV13 | 31,193,391 | 2,167,382 | 33,360,773 | 44,780 | 6,460 | 211,052 | |||
Increment | 14,093,224 | −2,411,433 | 11,681,790 | 48,437 | 7,487 | 248,094 | 238 (110–390) | 1,558 (665–2,764) | 47 (20–83) |
Indirect effects in the entire population | |||||||||
No pneumococcal vaccination | 84,863,269 | 30,173,792 | 115,037,061 | 512,708 | 102,134 | 3,957,704 | |||
With PCV10 | 154,916,931 | 13,854,396 | 168,771,327 | 199,064 | 49,662 | 2,053,280 | |||
Increment | 70,053,662 | −16,319,396 | 53,734,266 | 313,644 | 52,472 | 1,904,425 | 189 (85–320) | 1,158 (585–2,225) | 32 (14–55) |
With PCV13 | 154,972,887 | 10,886,054 | 165,858,941 | 138,968 | 40,030 | 1,729,744 | |||
Increment | 70,109,618 | −19,287,738 | 50,821,880 | 373,740 | 62,104 | 2,227,960 | 147 (62–258) | 888 (366–1,597) | 25 (10–44) |
All costs, pneumococcal episodes and deaths are discounted at an annual rate of 3%.