Table 2. Relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for different causes of mortality for extremely temperature changes (1%, 5%, 95% and 99% percentiles) at different lag days in Guangzhou.
RR (95% CI) | |||||
−4.1°C | −2.9°C | 2.1°C | 2.8°C | ||
Death cause | |||||
Non-accidental | |||||
Lag0 | 0.90(0.83–0.98) | 0.95(0.90–1.01) | 1.05(1.01–1.10) | 1.09(1.02–1.17) | |
Lag5 | 0.93(0.86–0.99) | 0.97(0.92–1.01) | 1.02(0.98–1.06) | 1.04(0.98–1.10) | |
Lag10 | 0.95(0.88–1.02) | 0.98(0.93–1.03) | 1.00(0.96–1.04) | 1.00(0.94––1.06) | |
Lag15 | 0.96(0.90–1.04) | 0.99(0.94–1.04) | 0.98(0.94–1.02) | 0.98(0.92–1.04) | |
Lag25 | 0.99(0.94–1.05) | 1.01(0.98–1.05) | 0.98(0.95–1.01) | 0.97(0.93–1.02) | |
Cardiovascular | |||||
Lag0 | 0.95(0.69–1.04) | 0.97(0.77–1.01) | 1.13(1.03–1.23) | 1.18(1.03–1.37) | |
Lag5 | 0.96(0.74–1.00) | 0.98(0.81–1.00) | 1.05(0.97–1.13) | 1.09(0.95–1.20) | |
Lag10 | 0.96(0.77–1.01) | 0.98(0.84–1.02) | 1.03(0.92–1.08) | 1.05(0.88–1.12) | |
Lag15 | 0.96(0.80–1.03) | 0.99(0.87–1.04) | 1.01(0.90–1.05) | 1.03(0.84–1.07) | |
Lag25 | 0.95(0.85–1.05) | 1.00(0.93–1.07) | 1.00(0.92–1.05) | 1.01(0.89–1.09) | |
Respiratory | |||||
Lag0 | 0.83(0.64–1.06) | 0.92(0.78–1.09) | 1.04(0.93–1.15) | 1.07(0.91–1.26) | |
Lag5 | 0.85(0.73–0.99) | 0.92(0.83–1.03) | 1.07(1.01–1.13) | 1.11(1.02–1.22) | |
Lag10 | 0.87(0.77–0.99) | 0.93(0.87–1.01) | 1.08(1.03–1.14) | 1.14(1.05–1.23) | |
Lag15 | 0.89(0.79–1.01) | 0.95(0.88–1.02) | 1.08(1.02–1.14) | 1.13(1.04–1.23) | |
Lag25 | 0.93(0.84–1.02) | 0.99(0.93–1.05) | 1.02(0.97–1.07) | 1.06(0.98–1.14) |
The bold means statistically significant (p<0.05).