Table 3. Relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for different causes of mortality for extremely temperature changes (1%, 5%, 95% and 99% percentiles) at different lag days in Taishan.
RR (95% CI) | ||||
−3.6°C | −2.3°C | 2.0°C | 2.6°C | |
Death cause | ||||
Non-accidental | ||||
Lag0 | 0.87(0.80–0.94) | 0.92(0.87–0.96) | 1.05(1.01–1.10) | 1.05(0.99–1.12) |
Lag5 | 0.89(0.83–0.95) | 0.93(0.89–0.97) | 1.04(1.01–1.08) | 1.05(1.00–1.10) |
Lag10 | 0.91(0.86–0.96) | 0.94(0.90–0.97) | 1.04(0.92–1.07) | 1.04(1.00–1.08) |
Lag15 | 0.93(0.88–0.97) | 0.95(0.92–0.98) | 1.03(1.01–1.06) | 1.04(1.00–1.07) |
Lag25 | 0.96(0.92–1.01) | 0.97(0.94–1.00) | 1.02(1.00–1.05) | 1.03(0.99–1.07) |
Cardiovascular | ||||
Lag0 | 0.87(0.78–0.96) | 0.9(0.85–0.96) | 1.05(0.99–1.11) | 1.06(0.98–1.14) |
Lag5 | 0.89(0.81–0.97) | 0.92(0.87–0.97) | 1.05(1.00–1.09) | 1.05(0.98–1.11) |
Lag10 | 0.9(0.84–0.97) | 0.93(0.89–0.97) | 1.04(1.00–1.08) | 1.04(0.99–1.09) |
Lag15 | 0.92(0.87–0.98) | 0.94(0.90–0.98) | 1.03(0.99–1.06) | 1.03(0.99–1.08) |
Lag25 | 0.96(0.91–1.02) | 0.97(0.93–1.01) | 1.02(0.98–1.05) | 1.01(0.97–1.06) |
Respiratory | ||||
Lag0 | 0.87(0.69–1.09) | 0.95(0.82–1.10) | 0.97(0.86–1.09) | 0.95(0.80–1.12) |
Lag5 | 0.89(0.73–1.08) | 0.96(0.85–1.09) | 0.98(0.89–1.08) | 0.97(0.85–1.12) |
Lag10 | 0.91(0.77–1.07) | 0.97(0.88–1.08) | 0.99(0.92–1.08) | 1(0.89–1.11) |
Lag15 | 0.94(0.81–1.07) | 0.98(0.90–1.07) | 1.01(0.94–1.08) | 1.02(0.93–1.12) |
Lag25 | 0.98(0.86–1.12) | 1(0.92–1.09) | 1.04(0.97–1.11) | 1.07(0.96–1.18) |
The bold means statistically significant (p<0.05).